Zweitstimmen-Wahlabsicht
Wenn schon am nächsten Sonntag Bundestagswahl wäre, würden wählen …
CDU/CSU31.0%
SPD21.0%
Grüne17.0%
AfD14.0%
FDP6.0%
Linke4.5%
Sonstige6.5%
Zeitraum 05.01 - 18.01.2023
1.023 Befragte
Bei dieser Stichprobengröße beträgt die Fehlerspanne bei einem Anteilswert von 30 Prozent rund +/- 3 Prozentpunkte und bei einem Anteilswert von 10 Prozent rund +/- 2 Prozentpunkte.
Der tatsächliche Wert liegt mit einer Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95 Prozent im jeweiligen Intervall. Die Werte innerhalb der Fehlertoleranzspanne sind aber nicht alle gleich wahrscheinlich, entsprechend der Gauß’schen Glockenkurve liegt der tatsächliche Anteil mit deutlich größerer Wahrscheinlichkeit im Zentrum des Intervalls als am Rand.
| Zeitraum | CDU/CSU % | SPD % | FDP % | Bündnis 90/ Die Grünen % | Die Linke % | Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) % | Sonstige Parteien % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.01 - 18.01.2023 | 31,0 | 21,0 | 6,0 | 17,0 | 4,5 | 14,0 | 6,5 |
| 02.12 - 15.12.2022 | 30,0 | 22,0 | 7,5 | 18,0 | 4,5 | 12,0 | 6,0 |
| 05.11 - 17.11.2022 | 29,5 | 20,0 | 7,0 | 20,0 | 4,0 | 14,0 | 5,5 |
| 01.10 - 13.10.2022 | 30,5 | 19,0 | 7,0 | 19,0 | 5,0 | 14,0 | 5,5 |
| 01.09 - 14.09.2022 | 30,0 | 20,0 | 7,0 | 19,0 | 5,5 | 13,0 | 5,5 |
| 05.08 - 18.08.2022 | 29,0 | 19,5 | 8,0 | 21,0 | 5,0 | 12,0 | 5,5 |
| 08.07 - 21.07.2022 | 27,5 | 22,0 | 7,0 | 22,0 | 5,0 | 11,0 | 5,5 |
| 03.06 - 17.06.2022 | 27,0 | 23,0 | 8,0 | 22,0 | 4,5 | 10,0 | 5,5 |
| 06.05 - 18.05.2022 | 29,0 | 24,0 | 8,0 | 20,5 | 4,5 | 9,0 | 5,0 |
| 25.03 - 06.04.2022 | 24,0 | 28,0 | 9,0 | 17,0 | 6,0 | 9,0 | 7,0 |
| 09.03 - 21.03.2022 | 25,0 | 25,0 | 10,5 | 17,0 | 5,0 | 10,0 | 7,5 |
| 03.02 - 16.02.2022 | 27,0 | 25,0 | 10,5 | 15,0 | 6,0 | 10,0 | 6,5 |
| 06.01 - 20.01.2022 | 23,0 | 27,5 | 12,5 | 14,5 | 5,5 | 10,0 | 7,0 |
| 01.12 - 15.12.2021 | 24,0 | 26,0 | 13,0 | 15,0 | 5,0 | 10,5 | 6,5 |
| 29.10 - 11.11.2021 | 23,0 | 27,0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 5,5 | 9,5 | 6,0 |
| 01.10 - 14.10.2021 | 21,0 | 28,0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 7,5 |
| 16.09 - 23.09.2021 | 25,0 | 26,0 | 10,5 | 16,0 | 5,0 | 10,0 | 7,5 |
| 01.09 - 07.09.2021 | 25,0 | 27,0 | 9,5 | 15,5 | 6,0 | 11,0 | 6,0 |
| 18.08 - 26.08.2021 | 26,0 | 24,0 | 10,5 | 17,0 | 6,0 | 10,5 | 6,0 |
| 05.08 - 17.08.2021 | 27,5 | 19,5 | 11,0 | 17,5 | 7,5 | 11,0 | 6,0 |
| 03.07 - 22.07.2021 | 30,0 | 16,0 | 12,0 | 19,5 | 7,0 | 9,5 | 6,0 |
| 28.05 - 09.06.2021 | 29,5 | 17,0 | 11,0 | 21,5 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.05 - 13.05.2021 | 27,5 | 16,0 | 10,0 | 24,0 | 6,5 | 10,0 | 6,0 |
| 23.04 - 06.05.2021 | 26,0 | 17,0 | 10,0 | 26,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 5,0 |
| 06.04 - 15.04.2021 | 28,0 | 16,5 | 10,0 | 23,0 | 7,5 | 9,5 | 5,5 |
| 08.03 - 21.03.2021 | 28,5 | 18,0 | 8,5 | 21,5 | 8,5 | 10,0 | 5,0 |
| 04.02 - 17.02.2021 | 37,0 | 15,0 | 7,0 | 20,0 | 7,0 | 9,5 | 4,5 |
| 10.01 - 20.01.2021 | 37,0 | 16,0 | 6,5 | 20,0 | 7,5 | 9,0 | 4,0 |
| 28.11 - 10.12.2020 | 37,0 | 16,5 | 7,0 | 19,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.11 - 11.11.2020 | 37,0 | 17,0 | 6,5 | 18,0 | 7,5 | 9,5 | 4,5 |
| 07.10 - 20.10.2020 | 35,5 | 17,0 | 6,0 | 20,0 | 7,0 | 10,0 | 4,5 |
| 04.09 - 16.09.2020 | 37,0 | 17,0 | 6,0 | 19,5 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 4,5 |
| 05.08 - 18.08.2020 | 38,0 | 17,0 | 5,5 | 19,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 4,5 |
| 03.07 - 16.07.2020 | 38,0 | 15,5 | 5,5 | 20,0 | 7,5 | 9,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.06 - 13.06.2020 | 40,0 | 16,0 | 4,5 | 18,5 | 7,0 | 9,5 | 4,5 |
| 06.05 - 14.05.2020 | 38,0 | 15,5 | 5,5 | 19,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 6,0 |
| 01.04 - 15.04.2020 | 38,0 | 16,0 | 6,0 | 19,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 5,0 |
| 05.03 - 18.03.2020 | 29,0 | 16,5 | 7,0 | 23,0 | 8,0 | 11,5 | 5,0 |
| 01.02 - 12.02.2020 | 27,5 | 14,5 | 8,0 | 23,0 | 9,5 | 13,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.12 - 11.12.2019 | 28,5 | 15,0 | 7,0 | 21,0 | 8,5 | 15,0 | 5,0 |
| 02.11 - 13.11.2019 | 29,5 | 14,0 | 7,5 | 21,5 | 8,0 | 14,5 | 5,0 |
| 27.09 - 10.10.2019 | 29,5 | 16,0 | 6,5 | 23,5 | 7,0 | 13,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.09 - 12.09.2019 | 29,0 | 15,0 | 7,0 | 22,0 | 8,0 | 14,0 | 5,0 |
| 02.08 - 15.08.2019 | 29,5 | 13,5 | 7,0 | 24,0 | 8,0 | 12,5 | 5,5 |
| 01.07 - 11.07.2019 | 29,5 | 14,5 | 7,0 | 23,0 | 8,5 | 11,5 | 6,0 |
| 01.06 - 12.06.2019 | 29,0 | 12,0 | 8,0 | 25,0 | 8,0 | 12,0 | 6,0 |
| 03.05 - 16.05.2019 | 30,0 | 17,5 | 9,0 | 17,0 | 8,5 | 13,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.04 - 12.04.2019 | 30,0 | 18,5 | 9,0 | 18,0 | 8,0 | 12,5 | 4,0 |
| 07.03 - 21.03.2019 | 30,0 | 18,0 | 8,5 | 19,0 | 8,5 | 12,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.02 - 13.02.2019 | 30,0 | 18,0 | 8,0 | 18,5 | 8,0 | 13,5 | 4,0 |
| 05.01 - 17.01.2019 | 31,5 | 16,5 | 8,5 | 18,0 | 8,5 | 13,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.12 - 12.12.2018 | 29,0 | 16,5 | 8,5 | 19,0 | 9,0 | 14,0 | 4,0 |
| 02.11 - 15.11.2018 | 28,0 | 17,0 | 9,5 | 19,0 | 9,0 | 13,5 | 4,0 |
| 28.09 - 11.10.2018 | 29,0 | 19,0 | 8,5 | 15,0 | 9,0 | 15,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.09 - 13.09.2018 | 31,5 | 19,5 | 8,5 | 12,5 | 9,0 | 15,0 | 4,0 |
| 27.07 - 09.08.2018 | 31,0 | 20,0 | 9,0 | 12,5 | 9,0 | 14,5 | 4,0 |
| 01.07 - 12.07.2018 | 30,5 | 20,0 | 9,5 | 12,0 | 9,0 | 15,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.06 - 13.06.2018 | 33,0 | 21,0 | 9,5 | 11,0 | 9,5 | 13,0 | 3,0 |
| 24.04 - 08.05.2018 | 34,0 | 20,0 | 9,0 | 11,0 | 10,0 | 11,5 | 4,5 |
| 03.04 - 17.04.2018 | 34,0 | 20,5 | 10,0 | 11,0 | 9,0 | 12,0 | 3,5 |
| 02.03 - 15.03.2018 | 34,0 | 19,0 | 10,0 | 11,0 | 10,0 | 12,5 | 3,5 |
| 02.02 - 15.02.2018 | 32,0 | 17,5 | 11,0 | 12,0 | 9,5 | 13,0 | 5,0 |
| 05.01 - 18.01.2018 | 34,0 | 21,0 | 10,0 | 10,5 | 8,5 | 12,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.12 - 14.12.2017 | 34,0 | 21,0 | 10,0 | 11,5 | 9,0 | 11,0 | 3,5 |
| 22.11 - 27.11.2017 | 33,0 | 21,5 | 10,0 | 11,0 | 9,0 | 11,0 | 4,5 |
| 07.10 - 19.10.2017 | 33,0 | 20,5 | 12,0 | 9,5 | 9,0 | 12,0 | 4,0 |
| 13.09 - 20.09.2017 | 36,0 | 22,0 | 10,5 | 8,0 | 9,5 | 10,0 | 4,0 |
| 06.09 - 14.09.2017 | 36,5 | 22,0 | 11,0 | 8,0 | 9,0 | 10,0 | 3,5 |
| 22.08 - 31.08.2017 | 38,5 | 24,0 | 10,0 | 7,5 | 8,0 | 8,0 | 4,0 |
| 04.08 - 17.08.2017 | 39,5 | 24,0 | 10,0 | 7,5 | 8,0 | 7,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.07 - 12.07.2017 | 39,5 | 25,0 | 9,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 7,0 | 3,5 |
| 01.06 - 15.06.2017 | 40,0 | 24,0 | 10,5 | 7,0 | 8,5 | 6,5 | 3,5 |
| 05.05 - 19.05.2017 | 37,0 | 26,0 | 9,0 | 8,0 | 8,0 | 8,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.04 - 13.04.2017 | 36,0 | 31,0 | 6,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 7,0 | 4,0 |
| 06.03 - 19.03.2017 | 34,0 | 33,0 | 6,5 | 7,5 | 8,0 | 7,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.02 - 15.02.2017 | 33,0 | 30,5 | 7,0 | 8,0 | 8,0 | 8,5 | 5,0 |
| 05.01 - 19.01.2017 | 36,0 | 23,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | 9,5 | 11,5 | 4,0 |
| 01.12 - 15.12.2016 | 35,5 | 22,0 | 7,5 | 10,0 | 9,5 | 10,5 | 5,0 |
| 28.10 - 10.11.2016 | 34,0 | 23,0 | 7,5 | 11,0 | 9,0 | 10,5 | 5,0 |
| 01.10 - 13.10.2016 | 33,0 | 22,0 | 7,5 | 12,0 | 9,0 | 12,5 | 4,0 |
| 03.09 - 15.09.2016 | 33,5 | 24,0 | 7,0 | 11,0 | 7,0 | 12,5 | 5,0 |
| 03.08 - 17.08.2016 | 34,5 | 23,0 | 7,5 | 11,5 | 9,0 | 10,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.07 - 14.07.2016 | 35,5 | 22,5 | 7,0 | 12,0 | 9,5 | 9,5 | 4,0 |
| 27.05 - 09.06.2016 | 33,5 | 21,0 | 8,0 | 12,0 | 9,0 | 11,5 | 5,0 |
| 28.04 - 12.05.2016 | 33,5 | 21,0 | 8,0 | 11,5 | 9,0 | 12,5 | 4,5 |
| 01.04 - 14.04.2016 | 33,5 | 23,0 | 8,0 | 11,0 | 9,0 | 10,5 | 5,0 |
| 26.02 - 10.03.2016 | 35,0 | 24,5 | 7,0 | 10,0 | 9,0 | 10,5 | 4,0 |
| 01.02 - 11.02.2016 | 33,5 | 24,0 | 7,0 | 10,0 | 10,0 | 10,5 | 5,0 |
| 07.01 - 21.01.2016 | 35,0 | 25,0 | 6,5 | 9,0 | 9,5 | 10,0 | 5,0 |
| 28.11 - 10.12.2015 | 38,0 | 26,0 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 8,5 | 8,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.11 - 12.11.2015 | 37,5 | 26,0 | 5,5 | 9,5 | 9,5 | 7,0 | 5,0 |
| 03.10 - 16.10.2015 | 38,0 | 26,0 | 5,5 | 9,5 | 9,0 | 7,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.09 - 12.09.2015 | 42,0 | 25,5 | 6,0 | 9,5 | 8,5 | 3,5 | 5,0 |
| 01.08 - 14.08.2015 | 41,5 | 26,0 | 5,5 | 9,5 | 9,0 | 3,5 | 5,0 |
| 01.07 - 13.07.2015 | 40,5 | 25,5 | 5,5 | 10,0 | 9,5 | 4,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.06 - 14.06.2015 | 41,5 | 26,0 | 5,0 | 10,0 | 8,5 | 4,0 | 5,0 |
| 02.05 - 18.05.2015 | 41,5 | 25,5 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 9,0 | 5,0 | 4,5 |
| 28.03 - 10.04.2015 | 40,5 | 26,5 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 8,5 | 6,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.03 - 12.03.2015 | 41,5 | 26,0 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 8,0 | 6,0 | 4,0 |
| 01.02 - 12.02.2015 | 41,0 | 25,5 | 5,0 | 9,5 | 9,0 | 6,0 | 4,0 |
| 09.01 - 23.01.2015 | 41,5 | 25,0 | 4,0 | 10,5 | 8,5 | 6,0 | 4,5 |
| 01.12 - 12.12.2014 | 40,5 | 26,0 | 3,5 | 9,5 | 8,5 | 7,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.11 - 13.11.2014 | 40,5 | 27,0 | 3,5 | 9,5 | 8,0 | 6,5 | 5,0 |
| 04.10 - 16.10.2014 | 39,5 | 26,0 | 3,0 | 10,5 | 8,5 | 7,5 | 5,0 |
| 01.09 - 11.09.2014 | 41,0 | 25,5 | 4,0 | 10,0 | 8,5 | 6,5 | 4,5 |
| 21.07 - 05.08.2014 | 41,0 | 26,5 | 3,0 | 10,0 | 8,0 | 6,5 | 5,0 |
| 28.06 - 11.07.2014 | 40,5 | 25,0 | 3,5 | 11,0 | 8,5 | 6,0 | 5,5 |
| 28.05 - 13.06.2014 | 40,0 | 26,0 | 4,0 | 10,0 | 8,0 | 6,0 | 6,0 |
| 25.04 - 09.05.2014 | 39,5 | 26,0 | 5,0 | 10,5 | 8,0 | 5,5 | 5,5 |
| 28.03 - 10.04.2014 | 40,0 | 26,5 | 4,5 | 11,0 | 8,0 | 5,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.03 - 13.03.2014 | 40,5 | 25,0 | 5,0 | 10,0 | 9,0 | 5,0 | 5,5 |
| 01.02 - 13.02.2014 | 40,0 | 26,5 | 4,0 | 10,5 | 9,0 | 5,0 | 5,0 |
| 10.01 - 23.01.2014 | 40,0 | 26,0 | 5,0 | 10,0 | 8,5 | 5,0 | 5,5 |
| 01.12 - 12.12.2013 | 41,5 | 25,5 | 4,0 | 10,5 | 9,0 | 4,5 | 5,0 |
| 08.11 - 21.11.2013 | 40,0 | 26,5 | 4,0 | 10,0 | 9,5 | 5,0 | 5,0 |
| 01.10 - 16.10.2013 | 41,0 | 25,0 | 5,0 | 9,0 | 9,0 | 5,5 | 5,5 |
| 16.09 - 19.09.2013 | 39,5 | 27,0 | 5,5 | 9,0 | 9,0 | 4,5 | 5,5 |
| 03.09 - 13.09.2013 | 39,0 | 26,0 | 6,0 | 11,0 | 9,0 | 3,5 | 5,5 |
| 20.08 - 31.08.2013 | 40,0 | 25,0 | 6,0 | 12,5 | 7,5 | 3,0 | 6,0 |
| 03.08 - 15.08.2013 | 39,0 | 24,5 | 7,0 | 13,5 | 7,0 | 3,0 | 6,0 |
| 01.07 - 11.07.2013 | 40,0 | 25,5 | 6,5 | 12,5 | 6,0 | 3,5 | 6,0 |
| 01.06 - 14.06.2013 | 38,0 | 26,0 | 6,0 | 14,0 | 7,0 | 3,0 | 6,0 |
| 04.05 - 17.05.2013 | 39,0 | 27,0 | 6,0 | 13,0 | 6,0 | 3,5 | 5,5 |
| 15.04 - 30.04.2013 | 38,5 | 26,0 | 5,5 | 15,0 | 6,0 | 3,5 | 5,5 |
| 27.03 - 12.04.2013 | 38,5 | 28,0 | 5,0 | 15,0 | 7,0 | 6,5 | |
| 01.03 - 14.03.2013 | 39,5 | 26,5 | 6,0 | 15,5 | 6,0 | 6,5 | |
| 01.02 - 14.02.2013 | 39,0 | 27,0 | 6,0 | 15,0 | 6,5 | 6,5 | |
| 05.01 - 18.01.2013 | 39,0 | 28,0 | 5,0 | 14,0 | 7,0 | 7,0 | |
| 01.12 - 13.12.2012 | 37,5 | 30,0 | 4,5 | 14,0 | 6,5 | 7,5 | |
| 26.10 - 08.11.2012 | 37,5 | 31,0 | 4,0 | 12,5 | 6,5 | 8,5 | |
| 23.10 - 06.11.2012 | 37,5 | 31,0 | 4,0 | 12,5 | 6,5 | 8,5 | |
| 28.09 - 12.10.2012 | 35,5 | 31,0 | 4,5 | 14,0 | 6,0 | 9,0 | |
| 03.09 - 17.09.2012 | 34,0 | 30,0 | 5,5 | 14,0 | 6,5 | 10,0 | |
| 01.08 - 13.08.2012 | 35,0 | 28,0 | 5,5 | 15,0 | 6,0 | 10,5 | |
| 01.07 - 12.07.2012 | 36,0 | 27,0 | 6,0 | 14,0 | 6,0 | 11,0 | |
| 04.06 - 15.06.2012 | 34,0 | 28,0 | 5,5 | 15,5 | 5,0 | 12,0 | |
| 05.05 - 19.05.2012 | 35,5 | 30,0 | 4,5 | 14,0 | 5,5 | 10,5 | |
| 01.04 - 13.04.2012 | 34,5 | 28,0 | 3,5 | 14,0 | 7,0 | 13,0 | |
| 03.03 - 15.03.2012 | 35,0 | 30,0 | 3,5 | 16,0 | 7,0 | 8,5 | |
| 04.02 - 16.02.2012 | 36,0 | 28,0 | 4,5 | 15,5 | 7,5 | 8,5 | |
| 07.01 - 21.01.2012 | 35,0 | 29,0 | 4,0 | 16,5 | 7,0 | 8,5 | |
| 21.11 - 04.12.2011 | 34,0 | 30,0 | 4,0 | 16,0 | 7,0 | 9,0 | |
| 28.10 - 11.11.2011 | 32,0 | 30,0 | 4,5 | 17,0 | 8,0 | 8,5 | |
| 04.10 - 16.10.2011 | 31,0 | 30,5 | 4,5 | 17,5 | 7,5 | 9,0 | |
| 16.09 - 30.09.2011 | 32,0 | 30,0 | 4,5 | 19,0 | 7,5 | 7,0 | |
| 02.09 - 16.09.2011 | 33,5 | 28,5 | 5,0 | 19,0 | 8,0 | 6,0 | |
| 12.08 - 27.08.2011 | 32,0 | 29,5 | 5,0 | 20,0 | 7,5 | 6,0 | |
| 30.07 - 13.08.2011 | 33,0 | 29,0 | 4,5 | 20,0 | 7,5 | 6,0 | |
| 02.07 - 15.07.2011 | 34,0 | 27,0 | 5,5 | 20,0 | 7,5 | 6,0 | |
| 03.06 - 18.06.2011 | 34,5 | 27,5 | 4,5 | 21,0 | 7,0 | 5,5 | |
| 02.05 - 14.05.2011 | 33,0 | 27,0 | 5,5 | 22,0 | 6,5 | 6,0 | |
| 01.04 - 16.04.2011 | 32,0 | 28,0 | 5,0 | 23,0 | 7,0 | 5,0 | |
| 26.02 - 13.03.2011 | 36,5 | 29,0 | 6,5 | 15,0 | 8,0 | 5,0 | |
| 04.02 - 17.02.2011 | 36,0 | 28,5 | 6,5 | 16,5 | 7,5 | 5,0 | |
| 07.01 - 21.01.2011 | 34,5 | 27,5 | 5,5 | 18,0 | 8,5 | 6,0 | |
| 27.11 - 10.12.2010 | 34,0 | 28,5 | 6,0 | 18,5 | 8,0 | 5,0 | |
| 06.11 - 18.11.2010 | 32,0 | 27,5 | 6,0 | 19,5 | 9,0 | 6,0 | |
| 01.10 - 14.10.2010 | 30,5 | 28,0 | 5,5 | 20,5 | 9,5 | 6,0 | |
| 03.09 - 16.09.2010 | 32,5 | 29,5 | 6,5 | 18,5 | 8,0 | 5,0 | |
| 01.08 - 12.08.2010 | 31,0 | 32,0 | 6,0 | 17,0 | 8,5 | 5,5 | |
| 02.07 - 15.07.2010 | 31,5 | 31,5 | 6,5 | 15,5 | 9,5 | 5,5 |
Basis: Bundesrepublik Deutschland, Bevölkerung ab 18 Jahre, Wahlberechtigte mit konkreter Parteiangabe, mindestens 1000 Befragte
Quelle: Allensbacher Archiv, IfD-Umfragen für die Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
